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Israel Adesanya Breakdown
Adesanya comes into this battle with plenty of benefits over the considerably smaller Gastelum, who is giving up nearly 9 inches of reach. On the feet it’s the technical accumulation strategy of Adesanya that will give him a substantial edge. He’s got a much more diverse arsenal with powerful leg kicks a powerful choice against Kelvin, that will have to stay volatile to have any hope closing the distance that is striking. Defensively Adesanya is sound, rolling with punches and never committing himself to be vulnerable to counter shots. He’s a slow starter but turns up the volume when he has a stronger feel for his opponent.
Gastelum has fast boxing mixtures and has utilized this to score some impressive finishes. The standard of Kelvin’s resistance is questionable with lots of elderly fighters crumbling after becoming caught by his superior speed or cardio. Gastelum includes a wrestling background but has not made a focus of his UFC run. In this fight the dimensions and takedown protection of Adesanya should signify this stays standing. Kelvin has limited paths to success outside of landing a flush KO shooter and given the reach and defense of Adesanya this does look unlikely.
Since moving up to Middleweight Gastelum has managed to be remarkable despite his height and reach. Weidman revealed us that size can be a large factor where the older fighters of the division were unable to press the advantage. Adesanya should be able to control this battle to keep standing, where he will have the ability to style on Gastelum out of range. Round you can be close but past that it will be just one way traffic. A late end or comfortable decision seem equally likely.Dustin Poirier Breakdown
These men clash in what ought to be an extremely competitive fight. Both guys prefer their striking with Holloway’s volume fashion taking on Poirier’s technical principles together with astonishing power. The public seem to be all over Holloway following his impressive Ortega win and thus the bookie has him lined a substantial favourite. While his boxing and boxing is unmatched at 145lb, it could be another story here. Poirier hits very difficult, with considerably more power than anything Max would have undergone in recent times. If there was a weakness Holloway’s match it is that he takes a lot of clean shots, and there is absolutely no reason a clear one from Poirier can not end the struggle.
This fight is likely to start off at Poirier’s favour because he lands the impacting shots and makes use of his reach advantage. Holloway will need to survive until the later rounds in an effort to overwhelm Poirier with his pace and cardio. Dustin is no slouch in this region and is extremely hard to put away himself. We see this as an early stoppage for Poirier or near decision led to the judges. The middle rounds will be pivotal in deciding the winner. At +180 the value is clear, back the more dangerous fighter that has firmly established himself along with their toughest division in the sport.
Bet = Poirier at 2.80 (+180) chances. Risk 4 Units to win 7.2 Units.
Eryk Anders Breakdown
Rountree is a dangerous striker, both powerful and fast, although his one dimensional gameplan makes him very beatable. Of most concern is that his gas tank which is quickly depleted as he spams power shots . Additionally his wrestling and grappling is below average. Rountree is coming off a major KO loss to Johnny Walker.
Anders is quite durable and has a basic but dangerous striking style himself. The trick to success is going to be his exceptional pressure as he could blend in takedowns to put on Rountree out, negating his energy. Rountree is stuck at the bottom of the rankings in contrast to Anders who lately had competitive match with the title challenger Santos. Start looking for him to endure some early scares to then implement his wrestling and then take over the fight beyond round one.
Bet = Anders in 1.54 (-185) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 1.62 Units.
Alan Jouban Breakdown
Jouban comes into this fight with far more experience but also a 5??? attain drawback. Grant is 34 years of age and unlikely to make huge strides in his overall game. He doesn’t appear very striking with sloppy method but does have large capability to land the kill shot. Jouban’s durability is a concern but he is the much superior fighter. Look for him to bring a smart game-plan to this one and use his superior arsenal to out strike Grant. Jouban has sneaky electricity himself but a choice is also probably. .
Bet = Jouban at 2.0 (+100) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 3.0 Units.
Max Griffin Breakdown
Imadaev is quite unproven and at just 24 decades old has been winning against inferior opposition on the regional landscape. He looks to be getting a great deal of respect from the chances makers, possibly because of his Russian background. This is a large step up against Max Griffin who is a demanding UFC veteran. He brings strong boxing and power and can blend from the strange takedown when required. Griffin’s question mark is certainly his strength, as he gets rocked in the majority of fights, but he’s a fighters mentality for coming back from adversity. Imadaev could be the real deal in which case that is likely to be an action packed affair. Otherwise look for Griffin to ship the inexperienced newcomer. At slight underdog odds we like a bet on the more proven fighter.
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